What is the Mortagua FC vs GD Os Nazarenos prediction?

The prediction is Home win, with a projected score of 1–1 and a selected-call probability of 45%.

What are the Mortagua FC vs GD Os Nazarenos 1X2 probabilities?

Mortagua FC win 45%, draw 29%, and GD Os Nazarenos win 27%.

How many goals are expected in Mortagua FC vs GD Os Nazarenos?

The displayed projection is 2.37 total expected goals, with Over 2.5 at 42%.

MatchFormula Find a match

UTC+8

PRT Portugal Campeonato Nacional · Fixture · Mon, Aug 17, 00:00

Mortagua FC vs GD Os Nazarenos

Market-based forecast，stats and analysis

Home form

Projected score1–12.37 expected goals

Away form

Home win45%

Draw29%

Away win27%

Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 45% selection probability

Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win45% selection probability

Projected score1–1Mortagua FC — GD Os Nazarenos

Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile

Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side

Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side

Expected corners9.3Under 9.5

Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds

45% / 29% / 27%Match resultHome win45%2.22

Derived from 1X2 · excludes GD Os Nazarenos win (26.5%)Double chance1X73.5%1.36

Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72

Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92

2.37 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——

9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——

Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone

OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference

Mortagua FC win45%2.222.0044.8%—

Draw29%3.453.1028.9%—

GD Os Nazarenos win27%3.703.4026.3%—

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mortagua FC1.37

Home share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

GD Os Nazarenos1.00

Away share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced

Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mortagua FC

1.20pts / match

Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

GD Os Nazarenos

0.00pts / match

Played0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Points0

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook

45%

Win probability excluding draw

27%

Points from supplied form

1.37

Expected goals

1.00

Mortagua FCGD Os Nazarenos

Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mortagua FC signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GD Os Nazarenos signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.

Match questions