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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Spiel ·

Mortagua FC vs GD Os Nazarenos

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg45%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg27%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Mortagua FCGD Os Nazarenos
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
45% / 29% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GD Os Nazarenos win (26.5%)Doppelte Chance1X73.5%1.36
Über 42% · Unter 58%Goals 2.5Unter58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mortagua FC win45%2.222.0044.8%
Unentschieden29%3.453.1028.9%
GD Os Nazarenos win27%3.703.4026.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mortagua FC1.37

Heim share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 42% · Unter 58%

GD Os Nazarenos1.00

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Mortagua FC

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

GD Os Nazarenos

0.00pts / match
Gespielt0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Punkte0

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
0
1.37
Expected goals
1.00
Mortagua FCGD Os Nazarenos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mortagua FC signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GD Os Nazarenos signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Mortagua FC vs GD Os Nazarenos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mortagua FC Gewinn 45%,Unentschieden 29%,GD Os Nazarenos Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Über 2.5 42% · Current selection Unter