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PRT Portugal - Campeonato Nacional · Partida ·

Mortágua Futebol Clube vs GD Os Nazarenos

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.37 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa45%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante27%
Market-based forecastVitória da casaTier B · 45% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa45% selection probability
Projected score1–1Mortágua Futebol ClubeGD Os Nazarenos
Expected goals2.37Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo58% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
45% / 29% / 27%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GD Os Nazarenos win (26.5%)Dupla Chance1X73.5%1.36
Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%Goals 2.5Abaixo58%1.72
Sim 48% · Não 52%Ambas as equipes marcamNão52%1.92
2.37 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNenhum
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mortágua Futebol Clube win45%2.222.0044.8%
Empate29%3.453.1028.9%
GD Os Nazarenos win27%3.703.4026.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mortágua Futebol Clube1.37

Mandante share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals2.37Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 42% · Abaixo 58%

GD Os Nazarenos1.00

Visitante share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 48% · Não 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Mortágua Futebol Clube

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontos6

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

GD Os Nazarenos

0.00pts / match
Jogos0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Pontos0

SignalMandante failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
27%
6
Points from supplied form
0
1.37
Expected goals
1.00
Mortágua Futebol ClubeGD Os Nazarenos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mortágua Futebol Clube signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GD Os Nazarenos signalMandante failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Mortágua Futebol Clube vs GD Os Nazarenos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mortágua Futebol Clube ganhou 45%,Empate 29%,GD Os Nazarenos ganhou 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.37 · Acima 2.5 42% · Current selection Abaixo