Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
69% / 18% / 13%Match resultHome win69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Taawon Buraidah win (13.4%)Double chance1X86.6%1.15
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
3.20 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapAl Taawon Buraidah winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Nassr Riyadh win69%1.451.3068.5%+0.5 pp
Draw18%5.565.0017.8%+0.2 pp
Al Taawon Buraidah win13%7.696.5013.7%-0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 75.3%
Total expected goals3.20Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%
Away share of expected goals 24.7%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchAl-Nassr Riyadh
WWWLL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchAl Taawon Buraidah
DLDWL
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
69%
Win probability excluding draw
13%9
Points from supplied form
52.41
Expected goals
0.79Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Taawon Buraidah
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.
Match questions
Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Taawon Buraidah FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Al-Nassr Riyadh win 69%，Draw 18%，Al Taawon Buraidah win 13%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.20 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over。