Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 26% / 47%Match resultAway win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Over 50% · Under 50%Goals 2.5Over50%2.00
Yes 53% · No 47%Both teams scoreYes53%1.89
2.68 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2——
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.5%Largest probability gapNeom SC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al Riyadh win27%3.703.2527.3%-0.3 pp
Draw26%3.853.4026.1%-0.1 pp
Neom SC win47%2.131.9146.5%+0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 39.9%
Total expected goals2.68Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 50% · Under 50%
Away share of expected goals 60.1%
Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 53% · No 47%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchAl Riyadh
DLLDW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchNeom SC
LWWWL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalAway won 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
27%
Win probability excluding draw
47%5
Points from supplied form
91.07
Expected goals
1.61Al RiyadhNeom SC
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
Al Riyadh vs Neom SC FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 47% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Al Riyadh win 27%，Draw 26%，Neom SC win 47%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.68 · Over 2.5 50% · Current selection Over。