Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
33% / 26% / 41%Match resultAway win41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.1%)Double chance1273.9%1.35
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.74 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
9.7 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin9.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Qarabag win33%3.032.9031.5%—
Draw26%3.853.5026.1%—
FC Twente win41%2.442.1542.5%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 48.9%
Total expected goals2.74Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%
Away share of expected goals 51.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchFK Qarabag
WWLDD
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchFC Twente
LWDLW
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
33%
Win probability excluding draw
41%8
Points from supplied form
71.34
Expected goals
1.40FK QarabagFC Twente
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.
Match questions
FK Qarabag vs FC Twente FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
FK Qarabag win 33%，Draw 26%，FC Twente win 41%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.74 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over。