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INT Arabie Saoudite - Pro League · Round 34 ·

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Taawon Buraidah

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile69%
Nul18%
Victoire à l’extérieur13%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile69% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al-Nassr RiyadhAl-Taawon Buraidah
Expected goals3.20Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de62% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
69% / 18% / 13%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al-Taawon Buraidah win (13.4%)Double chance1X86.6%1.15
Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%Goals 2.5Plus de62%1.61
Oui 50% · Non 50%Les deux équipes marquentOui50%2.00
3.20 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapAl-Taawon Buraidah winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Nassr Riyadh win69%1.451.3068.5%+0.5 pp
Nul18%5.565.0017.8%+0.2 pp
Al-Taawon Buraidah win13%7.696.5013.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Nassr Riyadh2.41

Domicile share of expected goals 75.3%

Total expected goals3.20Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 62% · Moins de 38%

Al-Taawon Buraidah0.79

Extérieur share of expected goals 24.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 50% · Non 50%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Al-Taawon Buraidah

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Gagné probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.41
Expected goals
0.79
Al-Nassr RiyadhAl-Taawon Buraidah
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Nassr Riyadh signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al-Taawon Buraidah signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Taawon Buraidah FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Nassr Riyadh victoire 69%,Nul 18%,Al-Taawon Buraidah victoire 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Plus de 2.5 62% · Current selection Plus de