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INT Saudi Arabia Pro League · Round 34 ·

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Taawon Buraidah

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.20 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier69%
Uavgjort18%
Borteseier13%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 69% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier69% selection probability
Projected score2–1Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Taawon Buraidah
Expected goals3.20Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
69% / 18% / 13%KampresultatHjemmeseier69%1.45
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Al Taawon Buraidah win (13.4%)Dobbel sjanse1X86.6%1.15
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Ja 50% · Nei 50%Begge lag scorerJa50%2.00
3.20 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.8 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.3%Largest probability gapAl Taawon Buraidah winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Al-Nassr Riyadh win69%1.451.3068.5%+0.5 pp
Uavgjort18%5.565.0017.8%+0.2 pp
Al Taawon Buraidah win13%7.696.5013.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Al-Nassr Riyadh2.41

Hjemme share of expected goals 75.3%

Total expected goals3.20Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

Al Taawon Buraidah0.79

Borte share of expected goals 24.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nei 50%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Al-Nassr Riyadh

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Al Taawon Buraidah

1.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poeng5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
69%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
13%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.41
Expected goals
0.79
Al-Nassr RiyadhAl Taawon Buraidah
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Al-Nassr Riyadh signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Al Taawon Buraidah signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk31% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al Taawon Buraidah FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 69% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Al-Nassr Riyadh vunnet 69%,Uavgjort 18%,Al Taawon Buraidah vunnet 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over