MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
LTU Lithuania A Lyga · Fixture ·

FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.32 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw27%
Away win38%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win38% selection probability
Projected score2–2FA SiauliaiFK Panevezys
Expected goals3.32Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 27% / 38%Match resultAway win38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Double chance1273.3%1.36
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.32 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FA Siauliai win36%2.78
Draw27%3.70
FK Panevezys win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Siauliai1.63

Home share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals3.32Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

FK Panevezys1.69

Away share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

FA Siauliai

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

FK Panevezys

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
38%
0
Points from supplied form
6
1.63
Expected goals
1.69
FA SiauliaiFK Panevezys
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Siauliai signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Panevezys signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FA Siauliai vs FK Panevezys FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Siauliai win 36%,Draw 27%,FK Panevezys win 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over