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LTU Litwa - A Lyga · Mecz ·

FA Siauliai vs FK Poniewież

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.32 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy36%
Remis27%
Wygrana gości38%
Full model forecastWygrana gościTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gości38% selection probability
Projected score2–2FA SiauliaiFK Poniewież
Expected goals3.32Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej64% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
36% / 27% / 38%Wynik meczuWygrana gości38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Podwójna szansa1273.3%1.36
Powyżej 64% · Poniżej 36%Goals 2.5Powyżej64%1.56
Tak 66% · Nie 34%Obie drużyny strzeląTak66%1.52
3.32 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
10.0 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
FA Siauliai win36%2.78
Remis27%3.70
FK Poniewież win38%2.63

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FA Siauliai1.63

Gospodarze share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals3.32Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 64% · Poniżej 36%

FK Poniewież1.69

Goście share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 66% · Nie 34%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FA Siauliai

0.00pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkty0

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

FK Poniewież

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
38%
0
Points from supplied form
6
1.63
Expected goals
1.69
FA SiauliaiFK Poniewież
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FA Siauliai signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Poniewież signalGospodarze failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FA Siauliai vs FK Poniewież FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gości · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FA Siauliai wygrana 36%,Remis 27%,FK Poniewież wygrana 38%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Powyżej 2.5 64% · Current selection Powyżej