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SWE Sweden 2.div Norra Götaland · Fixture ·

Herrestads AIF vs IK Tord

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.62 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw23%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Herrestads AIFIK Tord
Expected goals3.62Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 23% / 23%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IK Tord win (22.8%)Double chance1X77.2%1.30
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Yes 63% · No 37%Both teams scoreYes63%1.59
3.62 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.8%Largest probability gapHerrestads AIF winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Herrestads AIF win54%1.851.7052.6%+1.4 pp
Draw23%4.353.7523.9%-0.9 pp
IK Tord win23%4.353.8023.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Herrestads AIF2.48

Home share of expected goals 68.5%

Total expected goals3.62Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

IK Tord1.14

Away share of expected goals 31.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 63% · No 37%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Herrestads AIF

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

IK Tord

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
10
Points from supplied form
5
2.48
Expected goals
1.14
Herrestads AIFIK Tord
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Herrestads AIF signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IK Tord signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Herrestads AIF vs IK Tord FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Herrestads AIF win 54%,Draw 23%,IK Tord win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over