Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
67% / 18% / 15%Match resultHome win67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Kansas City II win (14.6%)Double chance1X85.4%1.17
Over 79% · Under 21%Goals 2.5Over79%1.27
Yes 57% · No 43%Both teams scoreYes57%1.75
4.18 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapAustin FC II winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Austin FC II win67%1.491.3665.7%+1.3 pp
Draw18%5.564.7518.8%-0.8 pp
Sporting Kansas City II win15%6.675.7515.5%-0.5 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 78.5%
Total expected goals4.18Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 79% · Under 21%
Away share of expected goals 21.5%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 57% · No 43%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchAustin FC II
DDWLW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSporting Kansas City II
WWLLL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
67%
Win probability excluding draw
15%8
Points from supplied form
63.28
Expected goals
0.90Austin FC IISporting Kansas City II
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 18%.
Match questions
Austin FC II vs Sporting Kansas City II FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 67% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Austin FC II win 67%，Draw 18%，Sporting Kansas City II win 15%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 4.18 · Over 2.5 79% · Current selection Over。