Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 24% / 30%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.5%)Double chance1275.5%1.32
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.96 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin10.6%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Man City win46%2.171.9546.4%—
Draw24%4.173.7024.4%—
Atletico Madrid win30%3.333.1029.2%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 55.4%
Total expected goals2.96Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%
Away share of expected goals 44.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.60pts / matchMan City
WDWWW
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.50pts / matchAtletico Madrid
LW
Played2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Points3
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
46%
Win probability excluding draw
30%13
Points from supplied form
31.64
Expected goals
1.32Man CityAtletico Madrid
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 24%.
Match questions
Man City vs Atletico Madrid FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Man City win 46%，Draw 24%，Atletico Madrid win 30%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.96 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over。