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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Spiel ·

Man City vs Atletico Madrid

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg37%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score2–1Man CityAtletico Madrid
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 25% / 37%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Doppelte Chance1275.1%1.33
Über 56% · Unter 44%Goals 2.5Über56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nein 41%Beide Teams treffenJa59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Man City win39%2.562.3538.3%
Unentschieden25%4.003.6025%
Atletico Madrid win37%2.702.4536.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Man City1.50

Heim share of expected goals 51%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 56% · Unter 44%

Atletico Madrid1.44

Auswärts share of expected goals 49%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nein 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Man City

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Atletico Madrid

1.50pts / match
Gespielt2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punkte3

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
37%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.50
Expected goals
1.44
Man CityAtletico Madrid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Man City signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Madrid signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Man City vs Atletico Madrid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Man City Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 25%,Atletico Madrid Gewinn 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Über 2.5 56% · Current selection Über