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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Wedstrijd ·

Man City vs Atletico Madrid

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel25%
Uitwinst37%
Market-based forecastThuiswinstTier B · 39% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score2–1Man CityAtletico Madrid
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven56% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 25% / 37%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.9%)Dubbele Kans1275.1%1.33
Boven 56% · Onder 44%Goals 2.5Boven56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nee 41%Beide teams scorenJa59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.4 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimGeen
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Man City win39%2.562.3538.3%
Gelijkspel25%4.003.6025%
Atletico Madrid win37%2.702.4536.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Man City1.50

Thuis share of expected goals 51%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 56% · Onder 44%

Atletico Madrid1.44

Uit share of expected goals 49%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nee 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Man City

2.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punten13

SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Atletico Madrid

1.50pts / match
Gespeeld2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punten3

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
37%
13
Points from supplied form
3
1.50
Expected goals
1.44
Man CityAtletico Madrid
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Man City signalThuis unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atletico Madrid signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Man City vs Atletico Madrid FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Man City gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 25%,Atletico Madrid gewonnen 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Boven 2.5 56% · Current selection Boven