Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
55% / 23% / 22%Match resultHome win55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Montevideo City Torque (W) win (22.2%)Double chance1X77.8%1.29
Over 57% · Under 43%Goals 2.5Over57%1.75
Yes 59% · No 41%Both teams scoreYes59%1.69
2.98 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Reference market used for this forecast
This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.
Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Defensor Sporting (W) win55%1.821.5757%—
Draw23%4.354.0022.4%—
Montevideo City Torque (W) win22%4.554.3320.7%—
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 59.4%
Total expected goals2.98Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 57% · Under 43%
Away share of expected goals 40.6%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 59% · No 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchDefensor Sporting (W)
LWWLW
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome won 3/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchMontevideo City Torque (W)
WWLWL
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
55%
Win probability excluding draw
22%9
Points from supplied form
91.77
Expected goals
1.21Defensor Sporting (W)Montevideo City Torque (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Market-led fallback leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Defensor Sporting (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Defensor Sporting (W) win 55%，Draw 23%，Montevideo City Torque (W) win 22%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.98 · Over 2.5 57% · Current selection Over。