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URY Uruguay League Women · Kamp ·

Defensor Sporting (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier59%
Uavgjort22%
Borteseier19%
Market-based forecastHjemmeseierTier B · 59% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Defensor Sporting (W)Montevideo City Torque (W)
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over58% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
59% / 22% / 19%KampresultatHjemmeseier59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Montevideo City Torque (W) win (18.7%)Dobbel sjanse1X81.3%1.23
Over 58% · Under 42%Goals 2.5Over58%1.72
Ja 59% · Nei 41%Begge lag scorerJa59%1.69
2.98 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Defensor Sporting (W) win59%1.691.4561.7%
Uavgjort22%4.554.2021.3%
Montevideo City Torque (W) win19%5.265.2517%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensor Sporting (W)1.84

Hjemme share of expected goals 61.7%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 58% · Under 42%

Montevideo City Torque (W)1.14

Borte share of expected goals 38.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nei 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting (W)

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque (W)

1.80pts / match
Spilt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Poeng9

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
19%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.84
Expected goals
1.14
Defensor Sporting (W)Montevideo City Torque (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensor Sporting (W) signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo City Torque (W) signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Defensor Sporting (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensor Sporting (W) vunnet 59%,Uavgjort 22%,Montevideo City Torque (W) vunnet 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Over 2.5 58% · Current selection Over