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URY Uruguay League Women · Meci ·

Defensor Sporting (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (F)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.98 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde55%
Egal23%
Victorie oaspeți22%
Market-based forecastVictorie gazdeTier B · 55% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Defensor Sporting (W)Montevideo City Torque (F)
Expected goals2.98Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste57% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
55% / 23% / 22%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Montevideo City Torque (F) win (22.2%)Șansă dublă1X77.8%1.29
Peste 57% · Sub 43%Goals 2.5Peste57%1.75
Da 59% · Nu 41%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa59%1.69
2.98 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.8%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNiciuna
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Defensor Sporting (W) win55%1.821.5757%
Egal23%4.354.0022.4%
Montevideo City Torque (F) win22%4.554.3320.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Defensor Sporting (W)1.77

Gazde share of expected goals 59.4%

Total expected goals2.98Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 57% · Sub 43%

Montevideo City Torque (F)1.21

Oaspeți share of expected goals 40.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 59% · Nu 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting (W)

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde won 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Montevideo City Torque (F)

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puncte9

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Câștig probability excluding draw
22%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.77
Expected goals
1.21
Defensor Sporting (W)Montevideo City Torque (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Defensor Sporting (W) signalGazde won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo City Torque (F) signalGazde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Defensor Sporting (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Defensor Sporting (W) câștig 55%,Egal 23%,Montevideo City Torque (F) câștig 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.98 · Peste 2.5 57% · Current selection Peste