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SVK Slovakia 3. Liga · Fixture ·

Fomat Martin vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–01.84 expected goals
Away form
Home win64%
Draw21%
Away win15%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win64% selection probability
Projected score1–0Fomat MartinMSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
64% / 21% / 15%Match resultHome win64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto win (15.1%)Double chance1X84.9%1.18
Over 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Yes 25% · No 75%Both teams scoreNo75%1.33
1.84 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fomat Martin win64%1.561.4064.3%-0.3 pp
Draw21%4.764.5020%+1.0 pp
MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fomat Martin1.45

Home share of expected goals 78.8%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 28% · Under 72%

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto0.39

Away share of expected goals 21.2%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 25% · No 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Fomat Martin

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Win probability excluding draw
15%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.45
Expected goals
0.39
Fomat MartinMSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fomat Martin signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Fomat Martin vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–0 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fomat Martin win 64%,Draw 21%,MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto win 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Over 2.5 28% · Current selection Under