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SVK Slovakien - 3. Liga · Match ·

Fomat Martin vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–01.84 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger64%
Oavgjort21%
Bortaseger15%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 64% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger64% selection probability
Projected score1–0Fomat MartinMSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
Expected goals1.84Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
64% / 21% / 15%MatchresultatHemmaseger64%1.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto win (15.1%)Dubbelchans1X84.9%1.18
Över 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Ja 25% · Nej 75%Båda lagen gör målNej75%1.33
1.84 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–0
10.3 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.0%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Fomat Martin win64%1.561.4064.3%-0.3 pp
Oavgjort21%4.764.5020%+1.0 pp
MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Fomat Martin1.45

Hemma share of expected goals 78.8%

Total expected goals1.84Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 28% · Under 72%

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto0.39

Borta share of expected goals 21.2%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 25% · Nej 75%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Fomat Martin

1.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Poäng5

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
64%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
15%
5
Points from supplied form
4
1.45
Expected goals
0.39
Fomat MartinMSK Kysucke Nove Mesto
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Fomat Martin signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto signalHemma clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk36% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Fomat Martin vs MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–0 · 64% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Fomat Martin vunnen 64%,Oavgjort 21%,MSK Kysucke Nove Mesto vunnen 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.84 · Över 2.5 28% · Current selection Under