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NIC Nicaragua Apertura · Fixture ·

San Marcos FC vs UNAN Managua

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Away form
Home win48%
Draw25%
Away win27%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 48% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win48% selection probability
Projected score2–1San Marcos FCUNAN Managua
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
48% / 25% / 27%Match resultHome win48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Double chance1275.2%1.33
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 55% · No 45%Both teams scoreYes55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
San Marcos FC win48%2.08
Draw25%4.00
UNAN Managua win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Marcos FC1.60

Home share of expected goals 58.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

UNAN Managua1.15

Away share of expected goals 41.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

San Marcos FC

0.67pts / match
Played3Wins0Drawn2Losses1Points2

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

UNAN Managua

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Win probability excluding draw
27%
2
Points from supplied form
8
1.60
Expected goals
1.15
San Marcos FCUNAN Managua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Marcos FC signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UNAN Managua signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

San Marcos FC vs UNAN Managua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Marcos FC win 48%,Draw 25%,UNAN Managua win 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over