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NIC Nicaragua Apertura · Partido ·

San Marcos FC vs UNAN Managua

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local48%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante27%
Baseline forecastVictoria localTier C · 48% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local48% selection probability
Projected score2–1San Marcos FCUNAN Managua
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de52% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
48% / 25% / 27%Resultado del partidoVictoria local48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Doble Oportunidad1275.2%1.33
Más de 52% · Menos de 48%Goals 2.5Más de52%1.92
Sí 55% · No 45%Ambos equipos marcan55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
San Marcos FC win48%2.08
Empate25%4.00
UNAN Managua win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Marcos FC1.60

Local share of expected goals 58.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 52% · Menos de 48%

UNAN Managua1.15

Visitante share of expected goals 41.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 55% · No 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

San Marcos FC

0.67pts / match
Jugados3Wins0Drawn2Losses1Puntos2

SignalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

UNAN Managua

1.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Puntos8

SignalNo recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Ganado probability excluding draw
27%
2
Points from supplied form
8
1.60
Expected goals
1.15
San Marcos FCUNAN Managua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Marcos FC signalVisitante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UNAN Managua signalNo recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

San Marcos FC vs UNAN Managua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Marcos FC ganada 48%,Empate 25%,UNAN Managua ganada 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Más de 2.5 52% · Current selection Más de