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NIC Nicaragua Apertura · Kamp ·

San Marcos FC vs UNAN Managua

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.75 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr48%
Uafgjort25%
Udesejr27%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 48% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr48% selection probability
Projected score2–1San Marcos FCUNAN Managua
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over52% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
48% / 25% / 27%KampresultatHjemmesejr48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Dobbeltchance1275.2%1.33
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Begge hold scorerJa55%1.82
2.75 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
San Marcos FC win48%2.08
Uafgjort25%4.00
UNAN Managua win27%3.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

San Marcos FC1.60

Hjemme share of expected goals 58.2%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%

UNAN Managua1.15

Ude share of expected goals 41.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

San Marcos FC

0.67pts / match
Spillet3Wins0Drawn2Losses1Point2

SignalUde unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

UNAN Managua

1.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Point8

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Vundet probability excluding draw
27%
2
Points from supplied form
8
1.60
Expected goals
1.15
San Marcos FCUNAN Managua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01San Marcos FC signalUde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UNAN Managua signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

San Marcos FC vs UNAN Managua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

San Marcos FC vundet 48%,Uafgjort 25%,UNAN Managua vundet 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over