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NIC Nicaragua Apertura · Fixture ·

Jalapa vs HYH Export Sebaco FC

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
Away form
Home win47%
Draw25%
Away win28%
Baseline forecastHome winTier C · 47% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win47% selection probability
Projected score2–1JalapaHYH Export Sebaco FC
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
47% / 25% / 28%Match resultHome win47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Double chance1275%1.33
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.73 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Jalapa win47%2.13
Draw25%4.00
HYH Export Sebaco FC win28%3.57

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Jalapa1.58

Home share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

HYH Export Sebaco FC1.15

Away share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Jalapa

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

HYH Export Sebaco FC

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Win probability excluding draw
28%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.58
Expected goals
1.15
JalapaHYH Export Sebaco FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Jalapa signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HYH Export Sebaco FC signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Jalapa vs HYH Export Sebaco FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Jalapa win 47%,Draw 25%,HYH Export Sebaco FC win 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over