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NIC Nicaragua Apertura · Fixture ·

Real Esteli vs CD Walter Ferretti

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.73 expected goals
Away form
Home win50%
Draw25%
Away win25%
Market-based forecastHome winTier B · 50% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win50% selection probability
Projected score2–1Real EsteliCD Walter Ferretti
Expected goals2.73Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
50% / 25% / 25%Match resultHome win50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25%)Double chance1275%1.33
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Yes 54% · No 46%Both teams scoreYes54%1.85
2.73 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNone
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Real Esteli win50%2.001.8050%
Draw25%4.003.6025%
CD Walter Ferretti win25%4.003.6025%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Real Esteli1.62

Home share of expected goals 59.3%

Total expected goals2.73Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

CD Walter Ferretti1.11

Away share of expected goals 40.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 54% · No 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Real Esteli

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

CD Walter Ferretti

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
50%
Win probability excluding draw
25%
13
Points from supplied form
6
1.62
Expected goals
1.11
Real EsteliCD Walter Ferretti
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Real Esteli signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Walter Ferretti signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Real Esteli vs CD Walter Ferretti FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Real Esteli win 50%,Draw 25%,CD Walter Ferretti win 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.73 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over