Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
60% / 23% / 17%Match resultHome win60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bragantino (W) win (16.9%)Double chance1X83.1%1.20
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 52% · No 48%Both teams scoreYes52%1.92
3.21 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1——
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sao Paulo (W) win60%1.67
Draw23%4.35
Bragantino (W) win17%5.88
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 73.8%
Total expected goals3.21Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%
Away share of expected goals 26.2%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 52% · No 48%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
2.40pts / matchSao Paulo (W)
WWWWL
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchBragantino (W)
LWLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
60%
Win probability excluding draw
17%12
Points from supplied form
62.37
Expected goals
0.84Sao Paulo (W)Bragantino (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.
Match questions
Sao Paulo (W) vs Bragantino (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sao Paulo (W) win 60%，Draw 23%，Bragantino (W) win 17%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.21 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over。