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INT Brazilië - Serie A1 - Dames · Wedstrijd ·

São Paulo (D) vs Bragantino (D)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst60%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst17%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 60% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst60% selection probability
Projected score2–1São Paulo (D)Bragantino (D)
Expected goals3.21Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven62% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
60% / 23% / 17%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst60%1.67
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bragantino (D) win (16.9%)Dubbele Kans1X83.1%1.20
Boven 62% · Onder 38%Goals 2.5Boven62%1.61
Ja 52% · Nee 48%Beide teams scorenJa52%1.92
3.21 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
São Paulo (D) win60%1.67
Gelijkspel23%4.35
Bragantino (D) win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

São Paulo (D)2.37

Thuis share of expected goals 73.8%

Total expected goals3.21Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 62% · Onder 38%

Bragantino (D)0.84

Uit share of expected goals 26.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nee 48%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

São Paulo (D)

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Bragantino (D)

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punten6

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
60%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
17%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.37
Expected goals
0.84
São Paulo (D)Bragantino (D)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01São Paulo (D) signalThuis unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bragantino (D) signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk40% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

São Paulo (D) vs Bragantino (D) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 60% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

São Paulo (D) gewonnen 60%,Gelijkspel 23%,Bragantino (D) gewonnen 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Boven 2.5 62% · Current selection Boven