Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
38% / 39% / 23%Match resultDraw39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mixto (W) win (23.1%)Double chance1X76.9%1.30
Over 13% · Under 87%Goals 2.5Under87%1.15
Yes 20% · No 80%Both teams scoreNo80%1.25
1.25 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0——
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Juventude (W) win38%2.63
Draw39%2.56
Mixto (W) win23%4.35
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 63.2%
Total expected goals1.25Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 13% · Under 87%
Away share of expected goals 36.8%
Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 20% · No 80%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.00pts / matchJuventude (W)
LDDLW
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchMixto (W)
DDLLD
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalAway clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
38%
Win probability excluding draw
23%5
Points from supplied form
30.79
Expected goals
0.46Juventude (W)Mixto (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans DRAW
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 39%.
Match questions
Juventude (W) vs Mixto (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Draw · Projected score 1–0 · 39% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Juventude (W) win 38%，Draw 39%，Mixto (W) win 23%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.25 · Over 2.5 13% · Current selection Under。