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AUS Australia New South Wales League 2 · Fixture ·

South Coast Flame FC vs Parramatta FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–23.07 expected goals
Away form
Home win26%
Draw23%
Away win51%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win51% selection probability
Projected score1–2South Coast Flame FCParramatta FC
Expected goals3.07Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over59% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes62% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 23% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.7%)Double chance1277.3%1.29
Over 59% · Under 41%Goals 2.5Over59%1.69
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.07 total expected goalsCorrect score1–2
10.4 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapParramatta FC winDifference-0.9 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
South Coast Flame FC win26%3.853.5025.7%+0.3 pp
Draw23%4.354.0022.4%+0.6 pp
Parramatta FC win51%1.961.7351.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

South Coast Flame FC1.49

Home share of expected goals 48.5%

Total expected goals3.07Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 59% · Under 41%

Parramatta FC1.58

Away share of expected goals 51.5%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

South Coast Flame FC

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Parramatta FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Win probability excluding draw
51%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.49
Expected goals
1.58
South Coast Flame FCParramatta FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01South Coast Flame FC signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Parramatta FC signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

South Coast Flame FC vs Parramatta FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–2 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

South Coast Flame FC win 26%,Draw 23%,Parramatta FC win 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.07 · Over 2.5 59% · Current selection Over