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AUS Australia New South Wales League 2 · Fixture ·

Mounties Wanderers vs Bankstown United FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–03.67 expected goals
Away form
Home win85%
Draw10%
Away win5%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 85% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win85% selection probability
Projected score3–0Mounties WanderersBankstown United FC
Expected goals3.67Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo63% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
85% / 10% / 5%Match resultHome win85%1.18
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bankstown United FC win (5.2%)Double chance1X94.8%1.05
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 37% · No 63%Both teams scoreNo63%1.59
3.67 total expected goalsCorrect score3–0
10.3 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.3%Largest probability gapBankstown United FC winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mounties Wanderers win85%1.181.1084.7%+0.3 pp
Draw10%10.009.509.8%+0.2 pp
Bankstown United FC win5%20.0017.005.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mounties Wanderers3.19

Home share of expected goals 86.9%

Total expected goals3.67Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

Bankstown United FC0.48

Away share of expected goals 13.1%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitYes 37% · No 63%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Mounties Wanderers

3.00pts / match
Played5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Points15

SignalHome unbeaten 5/5

Away-context · form sequence

Bankstown United FC

0.40pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
85%
Win probability excluding draw
5%
15
Points from supplied form
2
3.19
Expected goals
0.48
Mounties WanderersBankstown United FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mounties Wanderers signalHome unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bankstown United FC signalHome matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk15% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 10%.

Match questions

Mounties Wanderers vs Bankstown United FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–0 · 85% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mounties Wanderers win 85%,Draw 10%,Bankstown United FC win 5%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.67 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over