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INT Czechia 4. Liga · Fixture ·

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.44 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw23%
Away win30%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score1–1MSK BreclavSternberk
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 23% / 30%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Double chance1276.6%1.31
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMSK Breclav winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Breclav win46%2.171.9147%-1.0 pp
Draw23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sternberk win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Breclav1.27

Home share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Sternberk1.17

Away share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

MSK Breclav

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sternberk

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.27
Expected goals
1.17
MSK BreclavSternberk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Breclav signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sternberk signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Breclav win 46%,Draw 23%,Sternberk win 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under