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INT Cehia - 4. Liga · Meci ·

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score1–12.45 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde46%
Egal23%
Victorie oaspeți30%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde46% selection probability
Projected score1–1MSK BreclavSternberk
Expected goals2.45Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sub56% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
46% / 23% / 30%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Șansă dublă1276.6%1.31
Peste 44% · Sub 56%Goals 2.5Sub56%1.79
Da 50% · Nu 50%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa50%2.00
2.45 total expected goalsScor corect1–1
10.2 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMSK Breclav winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Breclav win46%2.171.9147%-1.0 pp
Egal23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sternberk win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Breclav1.28

Gazde share of expected goals 52.2%

Total expected goals2.45Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 44% · Sub 56%

Sternberk1.17

Oaspeți share of expected goals 47.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitDa 50% · Nu 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

MSK Breclav

0.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Puncte1

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Sternberk

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puncte6

SignalGazde failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Câștig probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.28
Expected goals
1.17
MSK BreclavSternberk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Breclav signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sternberk signalGazde failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Breclav câștig 46%,Egal 23%,Sternberk câștig 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.45 · Peste 2.5 44% · Current selection Sub