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INT Czechy - 4. Liga · Mecz ·

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–12.44 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy46%
Remis23%
Wygrana gości30%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy46% selection probability
Projected score1–1MSK BreclavSternberk
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej56% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
46% / 23% / 30%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Podwójna szansa1276.6%1.31
Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%Goals 2.5Poniżej56%1.79
Tak 50% · Nie 50%Obie drużyny strzeląTak50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
10.2 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMSK Breclav winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognozaUczciwy kursReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Breclav win46%2.171.9147%-1.0 pp
Remis23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sternberk win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Breclav1.27

Gospodarze share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 44% · Poniżej 56%

Sternberk1.17

Goście share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 50% · Nie 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

MSK Breclav

0.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkty1

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Sternberk

1.20pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkty6

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.27
Expected goals
1.17
MSK BreclavSternberk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Breclav signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sternberk signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Breclav wygrana 46%,Remis 23%,Sternberk wygrana 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Powyżej 2.5 44% · Current selection Poniżej