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INT Tjekkiet - 4. liga · Kamp ·

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.44 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr46%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr30%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr46% selection probability
Projected score1–1MSK BreclavSternberk
Expected goals2.44Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
46% / 23% / 30%KampresultatHjemmesejr46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.4%)Dobbeltchance1276.6%1.31
Over 44% · Under 56%Goals 2.5Under56%1.79
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Begge hold scorerJa50%2.00
2.44 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapMSK Breclav winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
MSK Breclav win46%2.171.9147%-1.0 pp
Uafgjort23%4.353.9023%0.0 pp
Sternberk win30%3.333.0029.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

MSK Breclav1.27

Hjemme share of expected goals 52%

Total expected goals2.44Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 44% · Under 56%

Sternberk1.17

Ude share of expected goals 48%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

MSK Breclav

0.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Point1

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Sternberk

1.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Point6

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vundet probability excluding draw
30%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.27
Expected goals
1.17
MSK BreclavSternberk
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01MSK Breclav signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sternberk signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

MSK Breclav vs Sternberk FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

MSK Breclav vundet 46%,Uafgjort 23%,Sternberk vundet 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.44 · Over 2.5 44% · Current selection Under