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INT Czechia 4. Liga · Fixture ·

Chomutov vs SK Rapid Psary

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.36 expected goals
Away form
Home win35%
Draw30%
Away win34%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win35% selection probability
Projected score1–1ChomutovSK Rapid Psary
Expected goals2.36Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under58% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
35% / 30% / 34%Match resultHome win35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.3%)Double chance1269.7%1.43
Over 42% · Under 58%Goals 2.5Under58%1.72
Yes 48% · No 52%Both teams scoreNo52%1.92
2.36 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Chomutov win35%2.86
Draw30%3.33
SK Rapid Psary win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chomutov1.20

Home share of expected goals 50.8%

Total expected goals2.36Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 42% · Under 58%

SK Rapid Psary1.16

Away share of expected goals 49.2%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Chomutov

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome won 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

SK Rapid Psary

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Win probability excluding draw
34%
9
Points from supplied form
13
1.20
Expected goals
1.16
ChomutovSK Rapid Psary
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chomutov signalHome won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Rapid Psary signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Chomutov vs SK Rapid Psary FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chomutov win 35%,Draw 30%,SK Rapid Psary win 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.36 · Over 2.5 42% · Current selection Under