Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
68% / 16% / 15%Match resultHome win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gladesville Ravens (W) win (15.5%)Double chance1X84.5%1.18
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Yes 62% · No 38%Both teams scoreYes62%1.61
3.77 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1——
9.0 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapGladesville Ravens (W) winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Apia L Tigers (W) win68%1.471.3367.9%+0.1 pp
Draw16%6.255.5016.4%-0.4 pp
Gladesville Ravens (W) win15%6.675.7515.7%-0.7 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 71.1%
Total expected goals3.77Open
Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%
Away share of expected goals 28.9%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 62% · No 38%Match profileOpen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchApia L Tigers (W)
DDLWW
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchGladesville Ravens (W)
LDDLD
Played5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
68%
Win probability excluding draw
15%8
Points from supplied form
32.68
Expected goals
1.09Apia L Tigers (W)Gladesville Ravens (W)
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 16%.
Match questions
Apia L Tigers (W) vs Gladesville Ravens (W) FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Apia L Tigers (W) win 68%，Draw 16%，Gladesville Ravens (W) win 15%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.77 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over。