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AUS Australia New South Wales NPL Women · Fixture ·

NWS Spirit (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–34.85 expected goals
Away form
Home win27%
Draw22%
Away win51%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win51% selection probability
Projected score1–3NWS Spirit (W)Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Expected goals4.85Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over86% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
27% / 22% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (21.7%)Double chance1278.3%1.28
Over 86% · Under 14%Goals 2.5Over86%1.16
Yes 72% · No 28%Both teams scoreYes72%1.39
4.85 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
8.9 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapWestern Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) winDifference+2.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
NWS Spirit (W) win27%3.703.1029%-2.0 pp
Draw22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) win51%1.961.8548.6%+2.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

NWS Spirit (W)1.35

Home share of expected goals 27.8%

Total expected goals4.85Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 86% · Under 14%

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)3.50

Away share of expected goals 72.2%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 72% · No 28%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

NWS Spirit (W)

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
27%
Win probability excluding draw
51%
10
Points from supplied form
6
1.35
Expected goals
3.50
NWS Spirit (W)Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01NWS Spirit (W) signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

NWS Spirit (W) vs Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

NWS Spirit (W) win 27%,Draw 22%,Western Sydney Wanderers NPL (W) win 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.85 · Over 2.5 86% · Current selection Over