MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
AUS Australia Northern NSW Premier League · Fixture ·

Charlestown Azzurri vs Maitland FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–33.80 expected goals
Away form
Home win20%
Draw22%
Away win57%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win57% selection probability
Projected score1–3Charlestown AzzurriMaitland FC
Expected goals3.80Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over73% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
20% / 22% / 57%Match resultAway win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Charlestown Azzurri win (20.3%)Double chanceX279.7%1.25
Over 73% · Under 27%Goals 2.5Over73%1.37
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.80 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Charlestown Azzurri win20%5.00
Draw22%4.55
Maitland FC win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Charlestown Azzurri1.18

Home share of expected goals 31.1%

Total expected goals3.80Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 73% · Under 27%

Maitland FC2.62

Away share of expected goals 68.9%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Charlestown Azzurri

0.00pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Points0

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Maitland FC

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
20%
Win probability excluding draw
57%
0
Points from supplied form
9
1.18
Expected goals
2.62
Charlestown AzzurriMaitland FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Charlestown Azzurri signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Maitland FC signalHome failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Charlestown Azzurri vs Maitland FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Charlestown Azzurri win 20%,Draw 22%,Maitland FC win 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.80 · Over 2.5 73% · Current selection Over