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DNK Denmark Division 2 · Fixture ·

Naestved IF vs HIK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.65 expected goals
Away form
Home win54%
Draw23%
Away win22%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Naestved IFHIK
Expected goals3.65Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
54% / 23% / 22%Match resultHome win54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HIK win (22.2%)Double chance1X77.8%1.29
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Yes 64% · No 36%Both teams scoreYes64%1.56
3.65 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Naestved IF win54%1.85
Draw23%4.35
HIK win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naestved IF2.44

Home share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals3.65Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

HIK1.21

Away share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 64% · No 36%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Naestved IF

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

HIK

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Win probability excluding draw
22%
5
Points from supplied form
4
2.44
Expected goals
1.21
Naestved IFHIK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naestved IF signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HIK signalAway matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Naestved IF vs HIK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naestved IF win 54%,Draw 23%,HIK win 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over