MatchFormula Find en kamp
Menu
UTC+8
TidszoneAsia/Shanghai
Dansk
DNK Danmark - 2. division · Kamp ·

Næstved vs HIK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.65 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr54%
Uafgjort23%
Udesejr22%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr54% selection probability
Projected score2–1NæstvedHIK
Expected goals3.65Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
54% / 23% / 22%KampresultatHjemmesejr54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HIK win (22.2%)Dobbeltchance1X77.8%1.29
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Ja 64% · Nej 36%Begge hold scorerJa64%1.56
3.65 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Næstved win54%1.85
Uafgjort23%4.35
HIK win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Næstved2.44

Hjemme share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals3.65Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

HIK1.21

Ude share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nej 36%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Næstved

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

HIK

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Vundet probability excluding draw
22%
5
Points from supplied form
4
2.44
Expected goals
1.21
NæstvedHIK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Næstved signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HIK signalUde matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Næstved vs HIK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Næstved vundet 54%,Uafgjort 23%,HIK vundet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over