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DNK Denemarken - 2. division · Wedstrijd ·

Naestved IF vs HIK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–13.65 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst54%
Gelijkspel23%
Uitwinst22%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Naestved IFHIK
Expected goals3.65Openen match profile
Goals 2.5Boven71% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
54% / 23% / 22%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes HIK win (22.2%)Dubbele Kans1X77.8%1.29
Boven 71% · Onder 29%Goals 2.5Boven71%1.41
Ja 64% · Nee 36%Beide teams scorenJa64%1.56
3.65 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nee snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityEerlijke odds
Naestved IF win54%1.85
Gelijkspel23%4.35
HIK win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Naestved IF2.44

Thuis share of expected goals 66.8%

Total expected goals3.65Openen

Dedicated goals model: Boven 71% · Onder 29%

HIK1.21

Uit share of expected goals 33.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nee 36%Match profileOpenen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Naestved IF

1.00pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punten5

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

HIK

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
22%
5
Points from supplied form
4
2.44
Expected goals
1.21
Naestved IFHIK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Naestved IF signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HIK signalUit matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Naestved IF vs HIK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Naestved IF gewonnen 54%,Gelijkspel 23%,HIK gewonnen 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Boven 2.5 71% · Current selection Boven