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DNK Denmark Division 2 · Fixture ·

VSK Aarhus vs Fremad Amager

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.78 expected goals
Away form
Home win40%
Draw28%
Away win32%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 40% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win40% selection probability
Projected score1–1VSK AarhusFremad Amager
Expected goals1.78Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under73% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo65% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
40% / 28% / 32%Match resultHome win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.2%)Double chance1271.8%1.39
Over 27% · Under 73%Goals 2.5Under73%1.37
Yes 35% · No 65%Both teams scoreNo65%1.54
1.78 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapVSK Aarhus winDifference-1.0 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
VSK Aarhus win40%2.502.2041%-1.0 pp
Draw28%3.573.2527.7%+0.3 pp
Fremad Amager win32%3.132.8831.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

VSK Aarhus0.88

Home share of expected goals 49.4%

Total expected goals1.78Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 27% · Under 73%

Fremad Amager0.90

Away share of expected goals 50.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 35% · No 65%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

VSK Aarhus

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Fremad Amager

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
40%
Win probability excluding draw
32%
10
Points from supplied form
5
0.88
Expected goals
0.90
VSK AarhusFremad Amager
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned DRAW

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01VSK Aarhus signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Fremad Amager signalHome clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

VSK Aarhus vs Fremad Amager FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

VSK Aarhus win 40%,Draw 28%,Fremad Amager win 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.78 · Over 2.5 27% · Current selection Under