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AUS Australia New South Wales Premier League · Fixture ·

Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney United 58

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–11.85 expected goals
Away form
Home win19%
Draw31%
Away win49%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win49% selection probability
Projected score1–1Wollongong WolvesSydney United 58
Expected goals1.85Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under72% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
19% / 31% / 49%Match resultAway win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Wollongong Wolves win (19.3%)Double chanceX280.7%1.24
Over 28% · Under 72%Goals 2.5Under72%1.39
Yes 30% · No 70%Both teams scoreNo70%1.43
1.85 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Wollongong Wolves win19%5.26
Draw31%3.23
Sydney United 58 win49%2.04

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wollongong Wolves0.52

Home share of expected goals 28.1%

Total expected goals1.85Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 28% · Under 72%

Sydney United 581.33

Away share of expected goals 71.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 30% · No 70%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Wollongong Wolves

0.20pts / match
Played5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Points1

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sydney United 58

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
19%
Win probability excluding draw
49%
1
Points from supplied form
10
0.52
Expected goals
1.33
Wollongong WolvesSydney United 58
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wollongong Wolves signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sydney United 58 signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Wollongong Wolves vs Sydney United 58 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wollongong Wolves win 19%,Draw 31%,Sydney United 58 win 49%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.85 · Over 2.5 28% · Current selection Under