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INT Australia Queensland PL U23 · Fixture ·

North Star U23 vs Robina City U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–45.79 expected goals
Away form
Home win24%
Draw19%
Away win57%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 57% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win57% selection probability
Projected score2–4North Star U23Robina City U23
Expected goals5.79Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over93% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes86% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
24% / 19% / 57%Match resultAway win57%1.75
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (19.5%)Double chance1280.5%1.24
Over 93% · Under 7%Goals 2.5Over93%1.08
Yes 86% · No 14%Both teams scoreYes86%1.16
5.79 total expected goalsCorrect score2–4
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
North Star U23 win24%4.17
Draw19%5.26
Robina City U23 win57%1.75

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

North Star U232.09

Home share of expected goals 36.1%

Total expected goals5.79Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 93% · Under 7%

Robina City U233.70

Away share of expected goals 63.9%

Projected score2–4BTTS splitYes 86% · No 14%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

North Star U23

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

Away-context · form sequence

Robina City U23

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Win probability excluding draw
57%
4
Points from supplied form
9
2.09
Expected goals
3.70
North Star U23Robina City U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01North Star U23 signalHome matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Robina City U23 signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk43% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

North Star U23 vs Robina City U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 2–4 · 57% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

North Star U23 win 24%,Draw 19%,Robina City U23 win 57%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.79 · Over 2.5 93% · Current selection Over