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INT Australia Queensland PL U23 · Fixture ·

Ipswich FC U23 vs Capalaba Bulldogs U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–13.47 expected goals
Away form
Home win68%
Draw20%
Away win12%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win68% selection probability
Projected score3–1Ipswich FC U23Capalaba Bulldogs U23
Expected goals3.47Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over67% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
68% / 20% / 12%Match resultHome win68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Capalaba Bulldogs U23 win (12.4%)Double chance1X87.6%1.14
Over 67% · Under 33%Goals 2.5Over67%1.49
Yes 47% · No 53%Both teams scoreNo53%1.89
3.47 total expected goalsCorrect score3–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Ipswich FC U23 win68%1.47
Draw20%5.00
Capalaba Bulldogs U23 win12%8.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ipswich FC U232.77

Home share of expected goals 79.8%

Total expected goals3.47Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 67% · Under 33%

Capalaba Bulldogs U230.70

Away share of expected goals 20.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitYes 47% · No 53%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Ipswich FC U23

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Capalaba Bulldogs U23

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Win probability excluding draw
12%
12
Points from supplied form
6
2.77
Expected goals
0.70
Ipswich FC U23Capalaba Bulldogs U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ipswich FC U23 signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Capalaba Bulldogs U23 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Ipswich FC U23 vs Capalaba Bulldogs U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ipswich FC U23 win 68%,Draw 20%,Capalaba Bulldogs U23 win 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.47 · Over 2.5 67% · Current selection Over