MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
INT Australia Queensland PL U23 · Fixture ·

Caboolture FC U23 vs Holland Park Hawks U23

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Away form
Home win51%
Draw25%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Caboolture FC U23Holland Park Hawks U23
Expected goals3.31Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes61% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
51% / 25% / 24%Match resultHome win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Holland Park Hawks U23 win (23.6%)Double chance1X76.4%1.31
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 61% · No 39%Both teams scoreYes61%1.64
3.31 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
10.0 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Caboolture FC U23 win51%1.96
Draw25%4.00
Holland Park Hawks U23 win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caboolture FC U232.16

Home share of expected goals 65.3%

Total expected goals3.31Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Holland Park Hawks U231.15

Away share of expected goals 34.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 61% · No 39%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Caboolture FC U23

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Holland Park Hawks U23

2.40pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
5
Points from supplied form
12
2.16
Expected goals
1.15
Caboolture FC U23Holland Park Hawks U23
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caboolture FC U23 signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Holland Park Hawks U23 signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Caboolture FC U23 vs Holland Park Hawks U23 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caboolture FC U23 win 51%,Draw 25%,Holland Park Hawks U23 win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over