Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
70% / 20% / 10%Match resultHome win70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Academia Deportiva Cantolao win (9.6%)Double chance1X90.4%1.11
Over 20% · Under 80%Goals 2.5Under80%1.25
Yes 10% · No 90%Both teams scoreNo90%1.11
1.54 total expected goalsCorrect score1–0——
9.2 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapAcademia Deportiva Cantolao winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Unión Comercio win70%1.431.2769.9%+0.1 pp
Draw20%5.004.5019.7%+0.3 pp
Academia Deportiva Cantolao win10%10.008.5010.4%-0.4 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 90.9%
Total expected goals1.54Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 20% · Under 80%
Away share of expected goals 9.1%
Projected score1–0BTTS splitYes 10% · No 90%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchUnión Comercio
DWWDD
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9
SignalHome unbeaten 5/5
Away-context · form sequence
0.40pts / matchAcademia Deportiva Cantolao
DDLLL
Played5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
70%
Win probability excluding draw
10%9
Points from supplied form
21.40
Expected goals
0.14Unión ComercioAcademia Deportiva Cantolao
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Unión Comercio vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–0 · 70% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Unión Comercio win 70%，Draw 20%，Academia Deportiva Cantolao win 10%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.54 · Over 2.5 20% · Current selection Under。