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INT Pérou - Liga 2 · Match ·

Union Comercio vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–01.54 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile70%
Nul20%
Victoire à l’extérieur10%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile70% selection probability
Projected score1–0Union ComercioAcademia Deportiva Cantolao
Expected goals1.54Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de80% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon90% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
70% / 20% / 10%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Academia Deportiva Cantolao win (9.6%)Double chance1X90.4%1.11
Plus de 20% · Moins de 80%Goals 2.5Moins de80%1.25
Oui 10% · Non 90%Les deux équipes marquentNon90%1.11
1.54 total expected goalsScore exact1–0
9.2 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.7%Largest probability gapAcademia Deportiva Cantolao winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union Comercio win70%1.431.2769.9%+0.1 pp
Nul20%5.004.5019.7%+0.3 pp
Academia Deportiva Cantolao win10%10.008.5010.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union Comercio1.40

Domicile share of expected goals 90.9%

Total expected goals1.54Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 20% · Moins de 80%

Academia Deportiva Cantolao0.14

Extérieur share of expected goals 9.1%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitOui 10% · Non 90%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Union Comercio

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Academia Deportiva Cantolao

0.40pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Points2

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Gagné probability excluding draw
10%
9
Points from supplied form
2
1.40
Expected goals
0.14
Union ComercioAcademia Deportiva Cantolao
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union Comercio signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Academia Deportiva Cantolao signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Union Comercio vs Academia Deportiva Cantolao FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 1–0 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union Comercio victoire 70%,Nul 20%,Academia Deportiva Cantolao victoire 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.54 · Plus de 2.5 20% · Current selection Moins de