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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Fixture ·

Aguai U20 vs Sao Paulo U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–34.17 expected goals
Away form
Home win7%
Draw12%
Away win80%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 80% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win80% selection probability
Projected score1–3Aguai U20Sao Paulo U20
Expected goals4.17Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over79% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes50% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
7% / 12% / 80%Match resultAway win80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aguai U20 win (7.4%)Double chanceX292.6%1.08
Over 79% · Under 21%Goals 2.5Over79%1.27
Yes 50% · No 50%Both teams scoreYes50%2.00
4.17 total expected goalsCorrect score1–3
9.3 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapAguai U20 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aguai U20 win7%14.2912.007.8%-0.8 pp
Draw12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp
Sao Paulo U20 win80%1.251.1779.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguai U200.73

Home share of expected goals 17.5%

Total expected goals4.17Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 79% · Under 21%

Sao Paulo U203.44

Away share of expected goals 82.5%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitYes 50% · No 50%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Aguai U20

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo U20

1.80pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalAway unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Win probability excluding draw
80%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.73
Expected goals
3.44
Aguai U20Sao Paulo U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguai U20 signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo U20 signalAway unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Aguai U20 vs Sao Paulo U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–3 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aguai U20 win 7%,Draw 12%,Sao Paulo U20 win 80%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.17 · Over 2.5 79% · Current selection Over