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BRA Brazil Campeonato Paulista U20 · Mérkőzés ·

Aguai - U20 vs Sao Paulo - U20

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score1–34.18 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem7%
Döntetlen12%
Vendég győzelem80%
Full model forecastVendég győzelemTier A · 80% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVendég győzelem80% selection probability
Projected score1–3Aguai - U20Sao Paulo - U20
Expected goals4.18Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett79% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
7% / 12% / 80%Mérkőzés eredményeVendég győzelem80%1.25
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Aguai - U20 win (7.4%)Dupla esélyX292.6%1.08
Felett 79% · Alatt 21%Goals 2.5Felett79%1.27
Igen 51% · Nem 49%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen51%1.96
4.18 total expected goalsPontos eredmény1–3
9.3 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.1%Largest probability gapAguai - U20 winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Aguai - U20 win7%14.2912.007.8%-0.8 pp
Döntetlen12%8.337.5012.4%-0.4 pp
Sao Paulo - U20 win80%1.251.1779.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Aguai - U200.74

Hazai share of expected goals 17.7%

Total expected goals4.18Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 79% · Alatt 21%

Sao Paulo - U203.44

Vendég share of expected goals 82.3%

Projected score1–3BTTS splitIgen 51% · Nem 49%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Aguai - U20

0.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontok4

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Sao Paulo - U20

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontok9

SignalVendég unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
7%
Nyert probability excluding draw
80%
4
Points from supplied form
9
0.74
Expected goals
3.44
Aguai - U20Sao Paulo - U20
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Aguai - U20 signalHazai matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sao Paulo - U20 signalVendég unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk20% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 12%.

Match questions

Aguai - U20 vs Sao Paulo - U20 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vendég győzelem · Projected score 1–3 · 80% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Aguai - U20 nyer 7%,Döntetlen 12%,Sao Paulo - U20 nyer 80%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.18 · 2.5 felett 79% · Current selection Felett